New Global Warming Reports
Well, it’s that time again, time for the IPCC report on climate change, and the freak-out has already begun. Anyone who is serious about discussing the issue of climate change should know enough to dismiss the report that was just released? Why, one might ask? The report that was just released is the Summary for Policymakers. This is the one that says that global warming is all man made, and goes light on the science and reason.
Around April, the full report will be out, which will include the full technical summary. These have always been much more informative than the crap that is leaked out for headlines. Unlike the rest of the report, the technical summaries tend to be dry and honest. If memory serves, the last one was 75 pages long, and its data didn’t seem to fit the conclusions for the Summary for Policy makers at all.
Imagine my surprise when this little tidbit was included in the Policymaker release. For anyone interested, the PDF can be found here. http://www.ipcc.ch/SPM2feb07.pdf
Note SPM2 on page 4.
This will probably never be headline news, but I found it interesting that this chart breaks down the 9 understood heavyweight factors. Is it just me, or does anyone else find it interesting that only 3 of 9 have a medium to high level of scientific understanding (LOSU on the graph)?
This can get very dry very quickly, but I would urge everyone to read the report that is out, and then to read the Tech Summary when it is available. I've never said that global warming isn't happening, but I do think that man overstates his importance and power on this planet.
No one seems to know why ice sheets in the southern hemisphere are unaffected, and we are trying to predict the behavior of a system that is billions of years old based on a century of data. That is like predicting what a stock will do over the next ten years based on watching its performance for one day. Computer models that fail to deliver accuracy over 5 days are being asked to project for 100 years.
Consensus is not empirical fact. I have a theory that women are insane, but I lack empirical proof. I do have tons of anecdotal evidence, and there are definable trends. But I wouldn't call it science. That is my inconvenient truth.
Around April, the full report will be out, which will include the full technical summary. These have always been much more informative than the crap that is leaked out for headlines. Unlike the rest of the report, the technical summaries tend to be dry and honest. If memory serves, the last one was 75 pages long, and its data didn’t seem to fit the conclusions for the Summary for Policy makers at all.
Imagine my surprise when this little tidbit was included in the Policymaker release. For anyone interested, the PDF can be found here. http://www.ipcc.ch/SPM2feb07.pdf
Note SPM2 on page 4.
This will probably never be headline news, but I found it interesting that this chart breaks down the 9 understood heavyweight factors. Is it just me, or does anyone else find it interesting that only 3 of 9 have a medium to high level of scientific understanding (LOSU on the graph)?
This can get very dry very quickly, but I would urge everyone to read the report that is out, and then to read the Tech Summary when it is available. I've never said that global warming isn't happening, but I do think that man overstates his importance and power on this planet.
No one seems to know why ice sheets in the southern hemisphere are unaffected, and we are trying to predict the behavior of a system that is billions of years old based on a century of data. That is like predicting what a stock will do over the next ten years based on watching its performance for one day. Computer models that fail to deliver accuracy over 5 days are being asked to project for 100 years.
Consensus is not empirical fact. I have a theory that women are insane, but I lack empirical proof. I do have tons of anecdotal evidence, and there are definable trends. But I wouldn't call it science. That is my inconvenient truth.
posted by PKav at 8:44 PM
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